Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.392559 0.458914 0.533406 0.623306 0.728973 0.849369 0.997159
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.279747 0.363111 0.467229 0.607172 0.790925 1.024781 1.346287
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.234155 0.326451 0.450460 0.629992 0.884557 1.234531 1.755579
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.197682 0.291939 0.426272 0.632842 0.944676 1.401350 2.127344
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.173345 0.269030 0.412524 0.645032 1.015701 1.589358 2.555396
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.148882 0.241351 0.386368 0.632441 1.044130 1.713282 2.899498
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.130586 0.220238 0.366681 0.625869 1.079092 1.849675 3.281914
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.117422 0.205435 0.354738 0.629561 1.130360 2.018478 3.744214
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.110967 0.201059 0.359509 0.662346 1.236507 2.296906 4.447889
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.104790 0.196206 0.362534 0.691891 1.340144 2.584276 5.213072
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.097986 0.189202 0.360534 0.711299 1.426492 2.849860 5.976014
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.090368 0.179598 0.352283 0.717076 1.486026 3.069784 6.678048
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.081973 0.167614 0.338310 0.710258 1.520575 3.247376 7.327814
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.073492 0.154416 0.320330 0.692783 1.530351 3.374824 7.889873
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070022 0.151227 0.322543 0.718914 1.639468 3.735643 9.055102
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.064946 0.143909 0.314996 0.722182 1.696862 3.987118 9.999714
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.061236 0.139126 0.312342 0.736158 1.781158 4.313627 11.188128
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.055853 0.129864 0.298471 0.721723 1.794452 4.469865 11.962411
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.051502 0.122483 0.288038 0.714188 1.823805 4.670384 12.890780
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.048312 0.117486 0.282628 0.718421 1.883941 4.958973 14.114941
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.047306 0.117711 0.289875 0.756009 2.037686 5.518855 16.218629
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.046096 0.117274 0.295415 0.789890 2.186556 6.088794 18.460118
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.044337 0.115214 0.296581 0.812151 2.306445 6.596352 20.608411